Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Florida Ospreys vs. North Alabama Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6bca9706300ff9cf4b6e6ad593f3f183a1b2585853c77ea8c077e1dc7d1ed34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Florida Ospreysof North Florida Ospreys, North Alabama Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked North Florida Ospreys | 22c | 1,121$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.35 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Florida Ospreys | 75c | 525.42$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Alabama Lions | 53c | 475.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Alabama Lions | 78c | 427.17$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.43 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed North Alabama Lions | 48c | 421$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed North Alabama Lions | 49c | 289.07$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked North Florida Ospreys | 53c | 281.42$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed North Alabama Lions | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Alabama Lions | 64c | 136.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed North Florida Ospreys | 20c | 117.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed North Florida Ospreys | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Alabama Lions | 63c | 66.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Alabama Lions | 79c | 36.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed North Alabama Lions | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked North Alabama Lions | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Florida Ospreys | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Alabama Lions | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…8f52backed North Alabama Lions | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed North Alabama Lions | 77c | 17.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Florida Ospreys vs. North Alabama Lionsthis page
- North Florida Ospreys vs. North Alabama Lions: O/U 157.5Over won
- Spread: North Alabama Lions (-9.5)North Florida Ospreys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.