Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6bfc636521ce5ac3b43676f7f9fc4a2dae6a4306cd31e7a49786a2352083044
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 40c | 709.89$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 62c | 386.24$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 58c | 308.13$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.41 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1072backed Over | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 37c | 226.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Over | 39c | 207.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 41c | 181.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 65c | 164.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 59c | 164.37$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Under | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 35c | 54.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fe…2c4cbacked Over | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 60c | 34.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 35c | 28.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Switzerland O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Take First CornerSwitzerland won
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.