Boxing · resolved market
Zuffa Boxing 9: Davis vs. Nistor (Heavyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6c31d959d39af1aa32d857299ba12852c9001554279e7ab21b8dbd4b7270512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Davisof Davis, Nistor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Nistor | 43c | 1,272$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Davis | 56c | 812.04$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Nistor | 43c | 528.03$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Davis | 57c | 414.49$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked Davis | 56c | 299.05$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Davis | 57c | 193.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Nistor | 46c | 185.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Davis | 61c | 157.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Davis | 58c | 118.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Davis | 54c | 74.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Davis | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Davis | 57c | 56.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Davis | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed Nistor | 40c | 45.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Nistor | 40c | 40.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Davis | 74c | 33.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Davis | 75c | 33.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Davis | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…dbcfbacked Nistor | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ec…255ebacked Davis | 50c | 25.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…28c5backed Davis | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b32…9bf8backed Nistor | 44c | 23.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…4ea2backed Davis | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…1083backed Nistor | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2b…d84cbacked Nistor | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…fd2cbacked Davis | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.