Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cary: Mei Yamaguchi vs Ena Koike
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6f459a9a3ae26b85195e813504b5f4d88e811f78ec45c786ef41b2b1d29adb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ena Koikeof Mei Yamaguchi, Ena Koike
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ena Koike | 77c | 7,369$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.01 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mei Yamaguchi | 24c | 7,101$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.31 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 24c | 1,827$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.86 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ena Koike | 76c | 1,496$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.06 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mei Yamaguchi | 22c | 968.61$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.71 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Ena Koike | 76c | 681.15$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.54 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Ena Koike | 54c | 651.91$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.88 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mei Yamaguchi | 24c | 601.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mei Yamaguchi | 29c | 593$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 19c | 473.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Ena Koike | 76c | 419$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Ena Koike | 76c | 398.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Mei Yamaguchi | 40c | 306$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Ena Koike | 77c | 301.49$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 18c | 294.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Ena Koike | 77c | 293$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Mei Yamaguchi | 22c | 197.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ena Koike | 58c | 189.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 47c | 163.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Ena Koike | 75c | 129.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Ena Koike | 76c | 123$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Mei Yamaguchi | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Ena Koike | 77c | 104$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Ena Koike | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Ena Koike | 77c | 95.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mei Yamaguchi | 42c | 72.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Mei Yamaguchi | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Ena Koike | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Mei Yamaguchi | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ena Koike | 75c | 55.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Ena Koike | 76c | 49.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Ena Koike | 75c | 40.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Ena Koike | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 49c | 37.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Ena Koike | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Ena Koike | 71c | 34.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ena Koike | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Mei Yamaguchi | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Ena Koike | 77c | 24.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Ena Koike | 75c | 23.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Ena Koike | 77c | 22.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ena Koike | 61c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.