Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Furman Paladins (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7020ebd21fc1f931331e534c9c3fea9b8eb1ffc3ac5b45dd7ff7960274ba506
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Furman Paladinsof Furman Paladins, UNCG Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 6,767$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.84 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed UNCG Spartans | 52c | 6,500$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.98 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 5,967$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.24 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed UNCG Spartans | 52c | 4,542$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.66 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed UNCG Spartans | 52c | 3,827$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked UNCG Spartans | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 1,120$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.16 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed UNCG Spartans | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.03 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 1,000$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.67 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f1…2638backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 556.25$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked UNCG Spartans | 52c | 494.23$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 395.83$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 265$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Furman Paladins | 47c | 223$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 143$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 124.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Furman Paladins | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed UNCG Spartans | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked UNCG Spartans | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed UNCG Spartans | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed UNCG Spartans | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed UNCG Spartans | 52c | 42.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 32.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 29.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…c7b0backed UNCG Spartans | 53c | 26.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Furman Paladins | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 25.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Furman Paladins | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Furman Paladins | 47c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Furman Paladins | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-4.5)this page
- Furman Paladins vs. UNCG SpartansFurman Paladins won
- Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartans: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-5.5)Furman Paladins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.