Tennis · resolved market
ITF Skopje: Nikola Kolyachev vs Vladyslav Orlov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf737fbda8288f0f3ce03039a2dfd3f42cacbb9376ec24177d908ef8a703f97db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vladyslav Orlovof Nikola Kolyachev, Vladyslav Orlov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Nikola Kolyachev | 35c | 10,538$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.58 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 6,005$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Vladyslav Orlov | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nikola Kolyachev | 35c | 606.69$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Vladyslav Orlov | 65c | 454.69$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 440$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 65c | 387.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Vladyslav Orlov | 66c | 360.07$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nikola Kolyachev | 17c | 323.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 312$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 200.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nikola Kolyachev | 13c | 160.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Vladyslav Orlov | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Vladyslav Orlov | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Vladyslav Orlov | 68c | 134$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nikola Kolyachev | 33c | 102.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nikola Kolyachev | 33c | 101.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 96.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Vladyslav Orlov | 68c | 86.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 73.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Vladyslav Orlov | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Vladyslav Orlov | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Vladyslav Orlov | 65c | 67.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 60.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Vladyslav Orlov | 67c | 58.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 66c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nikola Kolyachev | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 79c | 44.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Vladyslav Orlov | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Vladyslav Orlov | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Vladyslav Orlov | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…945ebacked Vladyslav Orlov | 63c | 26.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Vladyslav Orlov | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Vladyslav Orlov | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.