Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Sooners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf798e46f6eb64d15f7a575c1f00791ca2433c3924c4c18e31c4ce506053ccbb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma Soonersof Ole Miss Rebels, Oklahoma Sooners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ole Miss Rebels | 10c | 1,977$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.63 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Ole Miss Rebels | 29c | 1,013$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.8 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.74 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oklahoma Sooners | 74c | 667.27$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oklahoma Sooners | 73c | 583.41$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.66 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Oklahoma Sooners | 76c | 496.43$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma Sooners | 70c | 429.07$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Ole Miss Rebels | 18c | 407.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma Sooners | 69c | 357.64$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Oklahoma Sooners | 75c | 270$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oklahoma Sooners | 73c | 269.71$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Oklahoma Sooners | 73c | 264$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 78c | 176.39$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Oklahoma Sooners | 80c | 175.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 34c | 138$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 73c | 128$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ole Miss Rebels | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Oklahoma Sooners | 77c | 79.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oklahoma Sooners | 80c | 58.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Ole Miss Rebels | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Oklahoma Sooners | 71c | 39.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma Sooners | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Soonersthis page
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Sooners: O/U 143.5Over won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Sooners: O/U 145.5Over won
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Oklahoma Sooners: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-5.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
- Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-7.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.