Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7a34b0f5b0165539077d1a99c932d7edbd35efe643a1eac91cb7febdcc7c35e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, Melser Kindergarten
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,840 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed ShindeN | 56c | 692.06$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.69 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked ShindeN | 39c | 643.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.83 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Melser Kindergarten | 42c | 537$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.38 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Melser Kindergarten | 57c | 449.25$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.62 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Melser Kindergarten | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Melser Kindergarten | 54c | 181$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Melser Kindergarten | 38c | 159.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Melser Kindergarten | 27c | 113$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked ShindeN | 59c | 104.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed ShindeN | 51c | 93.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ShindeN | 32c | 92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ShindeN | 68c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Melser Kindergarten | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Melser Kindergarten | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Melser Kindergarten | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Melser Kindergarten | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed Melser Kindergarten | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Melser Kindergarten | 56c | 37.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Melser Kindergarten | 60c | 37.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Melser Kindergarten | 55c | 30.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Melser Kindergarten | 62c | 30.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Melser Kindergarten | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Melser Kindergarten | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Valorant: ShindeN vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.