CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ada39e07e0e1568849e196313a00eccd8f2e6c5e527c9073620efb16b92c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ACROBATSof HOTU, ACROBATS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed ACROBATS | 58c | 2,081$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.25 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU | 45c | 1,237$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HOTU | 47c | 1,046$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.1 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 38c | 624.58$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HOTU | 12c | 376.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 42c | 289.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed HOTU | 25c | 286.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed ACROBATS | 47c | 262.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed ACROBATS | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked HOTU | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed HOTU | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…a9e4backed ACROBATS | 55c | 91.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HOTU | 19c | 73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked HOTU | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed HOTU | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ACROBATS | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed HOTU | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed HOTU | 45c | 34.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked HOTU | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HOTU | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked HOTU | 46c | 24.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsACROBATS won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS - Map 1 WinnerACROBATS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.