CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda20bff97df1145a95bbb8b07d774a41c71f8242efbc78bb34752195ba6eefb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ACROBATSof HOTU, ACROBATS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed ACROBATS | 72c | 4,350$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.95 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed HOTU | 45c | 3,578$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.92 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ACROBATS | 49c | 1,921$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.4 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed ACROBATS | 74c | 1,511$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.91 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 30c | 1,454$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked ACROBATS | 73c | 1,058$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.72 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed HOTU | 22c | 958.33$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.83 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed HOTU | 53c | 942.1$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.31 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU | 26c | 939.77$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 38c | 873.63$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.12 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed ACROBATS | 47c | 762.94$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.36 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed ACROBATS | 46c | 679.23$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.79 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…e9b4backed HOTU | 28c | 677.01$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed HOTU | 25c | 632.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.53 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed HOTU | 47c | 616.85$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.48 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed ACROBATS | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed ACROBATS | 57c | 512.3$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed ACROBATS | 46c | 472.52$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.16 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ACROBATS | 63c | 472.15$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed HOTU | 19c | 459.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked HOTU | 20c | 457.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked HOTU | 51c | 429.65$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.67 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HOTU | 24c | 428.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked HOTU | 27c | 406.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed HOTU | 54c | 404.9$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.13 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed ACROBATS | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HOTU | 17c | 383.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked HOTU | 26c | 363.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ACROBATS | 46c | 318.34$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 25c | 317.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed HOTU | 51c | 307.18$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ACROBATS | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed HOTU | 54c | 234.77$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…a9e4backed ACROBATS | 43c | 230.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked HOTU | 50c | 222.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…59cdbacked ACROBATS | 60c | 216.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed ACROBATS | 58c | 197.74$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…f208backed HOTU | 21c | 197.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed ACROBATS | 48c | 194.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed HOTU | 52c | 189.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…0880backed HOTU | 54c | 179.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed HOTU | 55c | 177.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed HOTU | 20c | 175.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ACROBATS | 80c | 173.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed HOTU | 53c | 172.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed ACROBATS | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed HOTU | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed HOTU | 69c | 148.36$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HOTU | 27c | 121.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…e07abacked ACROBATS | 47c | 120.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +94%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed HOTU | 23c | 114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed HOTU | 25c | 112.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed ACROBATS | 45c | 108.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed HOTU | 54c | 107.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HOTU | 30c | 103.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed ACROBATS | 75c | 97.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked HOTU | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU | 27c | 96.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed ACROBATS | 79c | 93.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked HOTU | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ACROBATS | 47c | 87.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed HOTU | 54c | 85.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed ACROBATS | 33c | 83.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked HOTU | 48c | 75.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked HOTU | 21c | 70.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.4wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ACROBATS | 47c | 64.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed ACROBATS | 46c | 64.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked ACROBATS | 51c | 60.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed ACROBATS | 45c | 57.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ACROBATS | 45c | 53.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed ACROBATS | 48c | 50.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed HOTU | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked HOTU | 41c | 49.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked HOTU | 53c | 48.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed HOTU | 39c | 46.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked ACROBATS | 47c | 41.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed HOTU | 30c | 38.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked ACROBATS | 53c | 36.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed ACROBATS | 45c | 35.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked HOTU | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ACROBATS | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HOTU | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ACROBATS | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed ACROBATS | 47c | 26.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed ACROBATS | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed ACROBATS | 79c | 23.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed ACROBATS | 48c | 23.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…ec13backed HOTU | 53c | 22.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ACROBATS | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe1…a26bbacked HOTU | 70c | 21.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…6eebbacked HOTU | 50c | 20.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked ACROBATS | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked ACROBATS | 70c | 14.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS - Map 1 WinnerACROBATS won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS - Map 2 WinnerACROBATS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.