Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf822c272a4d7ff3bbff4dea4d26033a2851cd2676a664ef52d777874e80b9b3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, MVK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Team Secret Whales | 61c | 5,020$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.78 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed MVK Esports | 39c | 4,088$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.45 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed MVK Esports | 41c | 571.79$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.02 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MVK Esports | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked MVK Esports | 40c | 360$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked MVK Esports | 40c | 262.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Secret Whales | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Secret Whales | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked MVK Esports | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed MVK Esports | 44c | 144.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Team Secret Whales | 56c | 144.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MVK Esports | 39c | 121$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed MVK Esports | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Team Secret Whales | 61c | 81.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked MVK Esports | 41c | 27.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 13.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Group StageTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.