Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ac2dda380b2e02fb9afac5377c4500b191d8d2e12717ed5debef033e641213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, MVK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6eb0…a15cbacked MVK Esports | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 3.5%3 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MVK Esports | 12c | 6,798$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.01 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed MVK Esports | 18c | 5,223$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.89 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed MVK Esports | 17c | 4,978$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.16 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MVK Esports | 18c | 4,618$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.9 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed MVK Esports | 6c | 3,358$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed MVK Esports | 16c | 2,325$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MVK Esports | 17c | 1,934$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.67 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MVK Esports | 17c | 1,605$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.24 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed MVK Esports | 5c | 1,559$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked MVK Esports | 18c | 1,004$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MVK Esports | 6c | 979.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed MVK Esports | 16c | 975.54$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed MVK Esports | 4c | 664.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +11.9wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MVK Esports | 18c | 589.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed MVK Esports | 7c | 585.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked MVK Esports | 19c | 547$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…2c49backed MVK Esports | 6c | 510$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked MVK Esports | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked MVK Esports | 16c | 453.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked MVK Esports | 5c | 452$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 148 | 7.4%11 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed MVK Esports | 10c | 390$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed MVK Esports | 16c | 355.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7a…fff1backed MVK Esports | 17c | 352$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MVK Esports | 8c | 328$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed MVK Esports | 18c | 294.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Secret Whales | 80c | 286.8$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed MVK Esports | 18c | 280.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked MVK Esports | 18c | 277.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 29.1%39 W · 95 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked MVK Esports | 20c | 260$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7fcabacked MVK Esports | 5c | 256.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed MVK Esports | 9c | 252.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…b673backed MVK Esports | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked MVK Esports | 17c | 235$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked MVK Esports | 13c | 211.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed MVK Esports | 14c | 207$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed MVK Esports | 17c | 184.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…707fbacked MVK Esports | 17c | 177.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MVK Esports | 17c | 159.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MVK Esports | 12c | 132.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed MVK Esports | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MVK Esports | 18c | 109.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MVK Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MVK Esports | 11c | 93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed MVK Esports | 19c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 539 | 32.5%175 W · 364 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked MVK Esports | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Secret Whales | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…995fbacked MVK Esports | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MVK Esports | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MVK Esports | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MVK Esports | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stagethis page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.