Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4792f779d8ee90e78ed81ad544549bb0720d14ce84fc594fdc8d2620783a4fce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Secret Whalesof Team Secret Whales, MVK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed Team Secret Whales | 77c | 3,267$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.71 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MVK Esports | 17c | 1,395$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.17 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed MVK Esports | 20c | 1,111$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.19 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Team Secret Whales | 73c | 1,037$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MVK Esports | 2c | 999.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked MVK Esports | 23c | 846.66$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MVK Esports | 23c | 835$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 820.66$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.96 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed MVK Esports | 26c | 806.54$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed MVK Esports | 24c | 693.66$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.48 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Team Secret Whales | 75c | 658.62$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MVK Esports | 8c | 616.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Secret Whales | 73c | 574.33$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…5bd4backed MVK Esports | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MVK Esports | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Team Secret Whales | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 487 | 63.2%308 W · 179 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed MVK Esports | 5c | 399.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked MVK Esports | 24c | 397$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed MVK Esports | 22c | 395.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Team Secret Whales | 76c | 331.12$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 48 | 75%36 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MVK Esports | 12c | 254.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MVK Esports | 26c | 222$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed MVK Esports | 25c | 209.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked MVK Esports | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd198…8797backed MVK Esports | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Team Secret Whales | 69c | 188.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MVK Esports | 20c | 164.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked MVK Esports | 22c | 149.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Team Secret Whales | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Team Secret Whales | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…1a8dbacked Team Secret Whales | 78c | 127.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MVK Esports | 14c | 111.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…7f7dbacked Team Secret Whales | 77c | 99.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Team Secret Whales | 72c | 98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked MVK Esports | 29c | 87.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Team Secret Whales | 75c | 74.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Secret Whales | 72c | 59.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Team Secret Whales | 78c | 50.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked MVK Esports | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Team Secret Whales | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Team Secret Whales | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Team Secret Whales | 72c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed Team Secret Whales | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Group StageTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.