Tennis · resolved market
Centurion 2: Harold Mayot vs Yusuke Takahashi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf847d429552a6d3ce96149c63eb633b3607de3dd225692fc15fff6fe3a5bb87b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harold Mayotof Harold Mayot, Yusuke Takahashi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Yusuke Takahashi | 0c | 9,301$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yusuke Takahashi | 13c | 8,053$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.46 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yusuke Takahashi | 18c | 7,122$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Harold Mayot | 78c | 1,931$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.19 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Harold Mayot | 77c | 1,300$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.98 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yusuke Takahashi | 29c | 1,050$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.24 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yusuke Takahashi | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Yusuke Takahashi | 16c | 933.96$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Yusuke Takahashi | 12c | 857.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yusuke Takahashi | 16c | 773.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yusuke Takahashi | 13c | 726.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yusuke Takahashi | 13c | 726.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…a26ebacked Yusuke Takahashi | 2c | 654.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…bbfcbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yusuke Takahashi | 20c | 499.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 13c | 479.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Harold Mayot | 72c | 413.64$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yusuke Takahashi | 19c | 350.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Yusuke Takahashi | 34c | 334.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 172 | 57%98 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yusuke Takahashi | 8c | 332.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yusuke Takahashi | 12c | 306.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yusuke Takahashi | 34c | 294.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…e5a8backed Yusuke Takahashi | 10c | 250.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…1af0backed Yusuke Takahashi | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 14c | 249.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yusuke Takahashi | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yusuke Takahashi | 17c | 198.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…a597backed Yusuke Takahashi | 26c | 193.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yusuke Takahashi | 21c | 187.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yusuke Takahashi | 20c | 172.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yusuke Takahashi | 24c | 167.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…08b8backed Yusuke Takahashi | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Harold Mayot | 79c | 148.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Yusuke Takahashi | 20c | 143.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Harold Mayot | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 257 | 68.9%177 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Yusuke Takahashi | 12c | 139$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Yusuke Takahashi | 30c | 126.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 19c | 121.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yusuke Takahashi | 28c | 119$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 26c | 111.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…34efbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 14c | 110.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…b8eebacked Harold Mayot | 75c | 106.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Yusuke Takahashi | 23c | 102.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Harold Mayot | 76c | 100.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Harold Mayot | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Yusuke Takahashi | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Harold Mayot | 77c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Yusuke Takahashi | 20c | 83.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Harold Mayot | 80c | 83.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Harold Mayot | 80c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yusuke Takahashi | 16c | 76.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 18c | 70.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…7a30backed Harold Mayot | 77c | 69.53$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…bec6backed Yusuke Takahashi | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…cf6abacked Yusuke Takahashi | 19c | 61.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Harold Mayot | 79c | 60.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Harold Mayot | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yusuke Takahashi | 17c | 58.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Harold Mayot | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…a5b4backed Harold Mayot | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Harold Mayot | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 26c | 42.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Harold Mayot | 80c | 39.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…1b0cbacked Harold Mayot | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Harold Mayot | 71c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd952…0553backed Harold Mayot | 69c | 25.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Harold Mayot | 80c | 24.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Harold Mayot | 77c | 20.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Harold Mayot | 78c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…760ebacked Harold Mayot | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Harold Mayot | 71c | 16.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.