College Football · resolved market
Rutgers vs. Minnesota
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf88ca0f086c6e7d3dbee06092112e6772e2e981f5d23e94efea8f1ae69c8f6f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesotaof Rutgers, Minnesota
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Rutgers | 41c | 31,702$13,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,111.44 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Minnesota | 61c | 19,527$11,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,615.49 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rutgers | 38c | 14,678$5,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,577.53 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Minnesota | 57c | 12,311$6,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,327.97 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rutgers | 39c | 10,234$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.24 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Minnesota | 62c | 4,209$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.82 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Minnesota | 62c | 4,103$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.14 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rutgers | 48c | 4,014$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.99 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Minnesota | 62c | 3,982$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.26 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota | 46c | 3,702$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.65 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Minnesota | 62c | 3,150$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota | 50c | 2,318$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.19 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rutgers | 60c | 1,798$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.8 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Minnesota | 61c | 1,743$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.58 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Minnesota | 47c | 1,635$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.57 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Minnesota | 42c | 1,530$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.93 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Rutgers | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Minnesota | 42c | 999$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.42 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Minnesota | 63c | 957.78$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.11 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Rutgers | 60c | 926.67$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.02 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Rutgers | 44c | 781.03$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.29 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Minnesota | 45c | 671.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.07 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rutgers | 52c | 619$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.93 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Rutgers | 63c | 601.27$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.63 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Rutgers | 67c | 448.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rutgers | 44c | 423.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Rutgers | 43c | 322.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Rutgers | 50c | 298.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Rutgers | 43c | 288.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rutgers | 56c | 238$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.59 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Minnesota | 54c | 234.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota | 53c | 226.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Minnesota | 62c | 211.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…be9abacked Minnesota | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Minnesota | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Minnesota | 54c | 178.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rutgers | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Rutgers | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Minnesota | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Minnesota | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Minnesota | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Minnesota | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b19…3a33backed Minnesota | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rutgers | 35c | 69.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…a4cdbacked Rutgers | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Minnesota | 36c | 63.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9017…9173backed Rutgers | 36c | 62.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Minnesota | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Minnesota | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Minnesota | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rutgers vs. Minnesotathis page
- O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota (-5.5)Rutgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.