Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: John Echeverria vs Oliver Bonding
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8a1cae6335284de8ea7d189f0d33d4c94eea9c92077d51306b64310a238c6d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- John Echeverriaof John Echeverria, Oliver Bonding
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oliver Bonding | 10c | 1,135$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a2…a5ffbacked Oliver Bonding | 49c | 505.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Oliver Bonding | 20c | 500.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Oliver Bonding | 12c | 462.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed John Echeverria | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked John Echeverria | 74c | 266$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Oliver Bonding | 53c | 253$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.88 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed John Echeverria | 69c | 234.39$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed John Echeverria | 76c | 220.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe731…98c5backed John Echeverria | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Oliver Bonding | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…285cbacked Oliver Bonding | 14c | 142.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Oliver Bonding | 31c | 115.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Oliver Bonding | 15c | 109.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oliver Bonding | 30c | 105.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked John Echeverria | 44c | 103.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Oliver Bonding | 14c | 101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Oliver Bonding | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed John Echeverria | 45c | 99.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed John Echeverria | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Oliver Bonding | 44c | 84.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Oliver Bonding | 15c | 79.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked John Echeverria | 80c | 76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed John Echeverria | 54c | 70.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked John Echeverria | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Oliver Bonding | 46c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Oliver Bonding | 33c | 35.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Oliver Bonding | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Oliver Bonding | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.