CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf901d4335b3bfabd6492300a08a3422b0f776ea54883a9e952fc9b1fc6e9d42e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Gentle Mates | 79c | 16,666$13,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.8 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ASTRAL | 21c | 12,314$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.07 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ASTRAL | 26c | 1,579$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.4 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 1,016$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.02 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 30c | 1,009$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.84 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…3cd7backed ASTRAL | 50c | 873.07$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.08 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL | 22c | 324.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 298.78$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 35c | 295.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ASTRAL | 25c | 270.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…9235backed ASTRAL | 22c | 238.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 223.37$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ASTRAL | 24c | 214.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASTRAL | 21c | 195.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ASTRAL | 27c | 178.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked ASTRAL | 22c | 165$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ASTRAL | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ASTRAL | 19c | 111.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 103.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked ASTRAL | 21c | 86.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Gentle Mates | 80c | 79.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked ASTRAL | 21c | 71.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ASTRAL | 21c | 54.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed ASTRAL | 28c | 38.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 28.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Gentle Mates | 79c | 24.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ASTRAL (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)Gentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.