Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf92a99f0b12ba3ea75fd9698898abe429c446c5a5693d1376310d7e636950207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 6,698$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.55 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 28c | 2,720$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.04 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 43c | 1,996$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.89 | 1,337 | 56.5%756 W · 581 L | +64.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 45c | 935$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.25 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 34c | 618.24$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 45c | 312$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 66c | 303.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 1,537 | 35.1%540 W · 997 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 36c | 279.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 27c | 239.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 64c | 169.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 66c | 162.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 45c | 109.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 45c | 94.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 66c | 79.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 560 | 47%263 W · 297 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 45c | 60.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38f…e46cbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 43c | 37.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 33c | 31.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 45c | 29.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 47c | 26.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 381 | 59.1%225 W · 156 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 66c | 24.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 344 | 55.2%190 W · 154 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.