Tennis · resolved market
ITF Harmon: Jake Delaney vs Jesse Delaney
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9499643f4316108ed96bf9e6e3745a929f92c37097035d6ef4460248fc71fcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jake Delaneyof Jake Delaney, Jesse Delaney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jesse Delaney | 20c | 2,149$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.3 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jake Delaney | 77c | 2,031$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.06 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Jesse Delaney | 21c | 1,409$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.97 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jesse Delaney | 10c | 668.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jesse Delaney | 23c | 605.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Jesse Delaney | 10c | 542.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Jesse Delaney | 21c | 440.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jake Delaney | 77c | 328.35$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Jake Delaney | 77c | 259.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Jesse Delaney | 16c | 222$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Jesse Delaney | 22c | 170.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Jesse Delaney | 10c | 143$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jesse Delaney | 16c | 142.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Jake Delaney | 75c | 107.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Jesse Delaney | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Jake Delaney | 80c | 98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Jake Delaney | 79c | 64.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Jake Delaney | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Jesse Delaney | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jake Delaney | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Jake Delaney | 76c | 27.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Jake Delaney | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Jake Delaney | 76c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.