Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Kostyuk/Stearns vs Williams/Williams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf95c12b59ea2403f3cc27206072237796318556f1128a0f9d922fb10f1da25fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kostyuk/Stearnsof Kostyuk/Stearns, Williams/Williams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kostyuk/Stearns | 78c | 1,596$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.91 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Kostyuk/Stearns | 70c | 1,264$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.94 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Williams/Williams | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Williams/Williams | 33c | 752.74$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.46 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Kostyuk/Stearns | 58c | 574.14$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Williams/Williams | 42c | 534.18$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Williams/Williams | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Williams/Williams | 13c | 385$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Williams/Williams | 30c | 248.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Williams/Williams | 28c | 192.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…077fbacked Kostyuk/Stearns | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Williams/Williams | 30c | 76.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.