Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Guido Justo vs Ivan Marrero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf95c6f1dd5a4b9922d52a54aada3573d493cc0c881bdcc8e0662d3414d65353d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guido Justoof Guido Justo, Ivan Marrero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,901 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ivan Marrero | 4c | 6,204$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.07 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ivan Marrero | 0c | 3,836$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Ivan Marrero | 19c | 854.51$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.13 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Ivan Marrero | 8c | 853.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ivan Marrero | 18c | 545.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Ivan Marrero | 9c | 357$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Ivan Marrero | 19c | 306$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ivan Marrero | 16c | 301.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Ivan Marrero | 10c | 290.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Ivan Marrero | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Ivan Marrero | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Ivan Marrero | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Ivan Marrero | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Ivan Marrero | 9c | 110.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ivan Marrero | 13c | 91.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Ivan Marrero | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ivan Marrero | 19c | 76.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.