Dota2 · resolved market
LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b83aa8c25ed26bef0a08a7b024387dfda871b665cd81919d3614b81ddb3ee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 46c | 487.05$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.02 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed Yes | 39c | 461.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.73 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 27c | 322.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c07…1317backed No | 9c | 296.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Yes | 59c | 265.45$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…d8e1backed No | 68c | 191.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 59.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 70c | 58.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 70c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Yes | 44c | 33.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 40c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 39c | 26.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 70c | 25.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?this page
- GamerLegion to win 2-0?No won
- LGD Gaming to win 2-0?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.