Dota2 · resolved market
GamerLegion to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc998b8edecb95c5cfdfaf07adb76ba5f31fb155773b744fccad1a7a779c033c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked No | 74c | 13,188$9,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,475.06 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Yes | 25c | 10,672$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.62 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Yes | 4c | 7,292$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.38 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Yes | 19c | 6,882$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.86 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 79c | 5,817$4,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.18 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yes | 30c | 2,305$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.99 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 15c | 1,590$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.93 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked No | 80c | 900$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 16c | 282.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…d8e1backed No | 80c | 182.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 77c | 181$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes | 17c | 178.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 73c | 177$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes | 18c | 77.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Yes | 17c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 79c | 54.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 79c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GamerLegion to win 2-0?this page
- LGD Gaming to win 2-0?No won
- LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.