Tennis · resolved market
ITF Huamantla: Fernanda Regalado Macias vs Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa57ace7f368dc60bb9f19dfad7fc93816d1c8d23470610d520c6e44eb3e353f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Claudia Sofia Martinez Solisof Fernanda Regalado Macias, Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fernanda Regalado Macias | 18c | 12,042$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fernanda Regalado Macias | 17c | 2,318$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.38 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Fernanda Regalado Macias | 14c | 2,283$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.58 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis | 78c | 888.74$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Fernanda Regalado Macias | 19c | 818.04$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fernanda Regalado Macias | 11c | 370$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…9c9cbacked Fernanda Regalado Macias | 12c | 368.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Fernanda Regalado Macias | 12c | 197.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Fernanda Regalado Macias | 14c | 127.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…16a8backed Fernanda Regalado Macias | 35c | 116.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Fernanda Regalado Macias | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Fernanda Regalado Macias | 40c | 77.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fernanda Regalado Macias | 21c | 74.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fernanda Regalado Macias | 18c | 59.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Fernanda Regalado Macias | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis | 76c | 33.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Claudia Sofia Martinez Solis | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.