Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa5ab3364862a0dec7978d7ee50116d73284a9fe0700c84a5a44f8119a28061f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,360 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 39c | 1,939$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.59 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,045$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.32 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 646.76$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.07 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 477.07$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 162$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 61c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Yes | 61c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 61c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 57c | 47.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1c…0e2cbacked Yes | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 61c | 31.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 62c | 24.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01b…24b8backed No | 75c | 13.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Nacional vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.