Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 2 Panama?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa70bd18b2db801ad19065e30707429d3ca889438f9b985b784c0ba0abc758b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 7,755$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.93 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes | 6c | 6,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 5c | 4,861$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.05 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 4,703$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.18 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 7c | 731.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…5b36backed Yes | 6c | 716.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…bb21backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 18.5%57 W · 251 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…c228backed Yes | 6c | 499.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 6c | 469$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…3198backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 18.5%20 W · 88 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 4c | 279.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cc…2ac4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…87c0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 2 Panama?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 1 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 3 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 0 Panama?Yes won
- Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 1 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 2 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 3 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 0 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 1 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 2 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 3 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 0 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 1 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 2 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 3 Panama?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.