Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 2 Panama?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3066f721acfdad572f68be0628ea11ae7c2473d17d03b0728188ac1727516615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 20,586$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…b750backed Yes | 6c | 8,103$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.19 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 7c | 6,340$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.8 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 6c | 811.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…8451backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 5c | 766.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…c31dbacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 6c | 650$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes | 2c | 530$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 5c | 450.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5b97backed Yes | 5c | 419.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 4c | 394.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Yes | 6c | 350$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2506…a511backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…098dbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…07bebacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…ebb8backed Yes | 5c | 326$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…f3c0backed Yes | 6c | 262.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…9d65backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 12.7%14 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 4c | 250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…62a0backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 6c | 236.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 7c | 221.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a2…09ddbacked Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 7c | 214.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 28.3%43 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…f98abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 6c | 175$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 2 Panama?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 1 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 2 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 3 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 0 Panama?Yes won
- Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 1 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 2 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 3 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 0 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 1 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 2 - 3 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 0 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 1 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 2 Panama?No won
- Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 3 Panama?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.