Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa7e4a3024a9e1afdb34bc677f151a9b479447e0947b273fcfb9994182a73402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x110a…ff74backed Yes | 2c | 8,756$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 4,290$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.01 | 1,383 | 48.3%668 W · 715 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,499$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 2,613 | 47.6%1,245 W · 1,368 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218c…7d1cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,357$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 12c | 2,081$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.39 | 657 | 44.6%293 W · 364 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 506 | 49.8%252 W · 254 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 10c | 1,857$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 1,328 | 42.4%563 W · 765 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 859 | 52.7%453 W · 406 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 10c | 971.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 749 | 50.7%380 W · 369 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 13c | 612.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 449.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 685 | 39.9%273 W · 412 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 10c | 353.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 10c | 295.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 369 | 51.2%189 W · 180 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 18c | 287$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 10c | 123$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…8c4ebacked Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-08-26?No won
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.