Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Montana State Bobcats (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xface1346b89da94fc5d515813152dc5554d683c460748ec30b2fd28c8ef293a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montana State Bobcatsof Eastern Washington Eagles, Montana State Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,765 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 9c | 940.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Montana State Bobcats | 33c | 326.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.32 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Montana State Bobcats | 30c | 325.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Montana State Bobcats | 40c | 303.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 14c | 256.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Montana State Bobcats | 19c | 239.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 11c | 215.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Montana State Bobcats | 7c | 150$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Montana State Bobcats | 46c | 149.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Montana State Bobcats | 40c | 53.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 44c | 52.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Montana State Bobcats | 64c | 52.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 75c | 52.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 61c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…da9fbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 75c | 25.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…e521backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.