Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfada6cf302b63642394a55cf2bfa5c56237dd5f0b8867bbda4ae2fdc945a77d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 51c | 3,802$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.33 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c2…b6a5backed Yes | 51c | 3,465$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.83 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,460$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.86 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…d654backed Yes | 54c | 559.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 504.29$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 329.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7757…120cbacked No | 73c | 299.93$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Yes | 57c | 276.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 49c | 251.78$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 57c | 175.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 100.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 51c | 52.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 50.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…b540backed Yes | 50c | 34.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 32.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 46c | 32.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes | 53c | 28.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 52c | 25.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 47c | 24.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…9659backed Yes | 54c | 21.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands leading at halftime?this page
- Algeria leading at halftime?No won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.