NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Predators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaf622dd482b1c9317fd738ed6297de6621c85ee47bf2182821bafc5560f2ab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 6,374$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.35 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 47c | 1,592$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.12 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 45c | 1,171$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.34 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Under | 54c | 833.76$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 46c | 652.09$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.25 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 45c | 647$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.29 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Under | 54c | 579.6$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 549.71$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 46c | 532.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 47c | 489$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.51 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 407.4$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.85 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 369.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.96 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 353.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 51c | 249.82$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 240.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Over | 64c | 240$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 56c | 224.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 221$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Under | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 202.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…e91dbacked Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…4184backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…584ebacked Over | 47c | 197.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fe…0c72backed Over | 47c | 195.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6b…b874backed Over | 47c | 194.39$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…0890backed Under | 53c | 193$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…888bbacked Under | 53c | 192$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…66f6backed Over | 47c | 191.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f2…1142backed Over | 47c | 191.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…1ed4backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…0c59backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a0…763abacked Over | 47c | 184.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…b764backed Over | 47c | 184.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…bf2bbacked Under | 53c | 183$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…4961backed Over | 47c | 181.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b93…a757backed Over | 47c | 180.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fa…76cabacked Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…c3ecbacked Under | 53c | 177$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…c8b9backed Over | 47c | 175.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…80f9backed Under | 53c | 172$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…0fe7backed Over | 47c | 167$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 144$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Over | 46c | 125.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 46c | 120.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 46c | 103.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 35c | 102$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 45c | 90.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Under | 70c | 86.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Over | 46c | 81.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…0bbbbacked Under | 54c | 76.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 35c | 76.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 65c | 76.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…e324backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 35c | 52.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 55c | 42.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…621abacked Under | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 56c | 30.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 57c | 30.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 29.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 74c | 25.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db6…4f15backed Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…f64abacked Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Predators: O/U 6.5this page
- Devils vs. PredatorsDevils won
- Devils vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.