NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Predators: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dfcb4e66bfbbd3486b8c8a147c4d05a0129156f0a4b625e3cc842411f53d4bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 59c | 85,000$50,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,849.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 41c | 78,492$32,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,181.85 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 41c | 2,618$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.5 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 58c | 2,320$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.36 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 1,502$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.06 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 42c | 651.95$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.82 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 41c | 620.41$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.37 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 58c | 598.29$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 41c | 439.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Under | 22c | 395.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 41c | 302.34$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.96 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 41c | 280.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Under | 42c | 253$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Under | 42c | 226.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 210.91$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 53c | 201.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 41c | 169$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 41c | 161.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 42c | 153.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 41c | 143.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 74c | 133.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 41c | 122.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 117$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 45c | 108.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…a620backed Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 55c | 92.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 53.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 42c | 52.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 48c | 48.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 59c | 40.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…cac9backed Under | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 57c | 28.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 26.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 57c | 26.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…6822backed Over | 62c | 21.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 54c | 20.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 53c | 20.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 63c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Predators: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. PredatorsDevils won
- Devils vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Devils vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.