TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6bc…cac9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Predators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Stars vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.94
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.76
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Flyers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.12
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$16.35
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$59.37
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$88.23
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.12
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+167.2%+$23.12
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-6.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.72
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$11.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$63.6
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$6.04
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$21.37
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.48
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$5.59
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.