Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Monmouth Hawks vs. Towson Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb815a9d4d93572632b4fc806cf010be2b0f7b506cb30b6d017d26bb6e60551c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monmouth Hawksof Monmouth Hawks, Towson Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Towson Tigers | 66c | 1,943$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monmouth Hawks | 36c | 1,281$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.69 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Monmouth Hawks | 24c | 500$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Towson Tigers | 53c | 249.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.49 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Towson Tigers | 42c | 152.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 147.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.37 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 104.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Towson Tigers | 72c | 91.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Monmouth Hawks | 41c | 81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…68fcbacked Towson Tigers | 64c | 48.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Monmouth Hawks | 73c | 37.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monmouth Hawks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Towson Tigers | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Towson Tigers | 77c | 15.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.