Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb890e377e4d474a10ed86b970301892c6eac200ab2a8c3842c2671a99f580d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 5,067$3,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.05 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 25c | 2,504$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.93 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 2,001$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.28 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 26c | 1,590$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.03 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 32c | 1,279$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.59 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 74c | 1,006$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.25 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 22c | 526.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 27c | 517.47$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.64 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 504$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 58c | 266.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 41c | 229.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 24c | 199.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 46c | 166.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 159.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 74c | 142$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 21c | 135.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 24c | 124.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 24c | 121.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 121.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Yes | 10c | 113.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 58.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 54.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 75c | 53.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 22c | 45.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…5c85backed No | 73c | 31.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 34c | 31.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 76c | 28.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 26.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 54c | 21.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will FK Sarajevo vs. FC Inter Turku end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FK Sarajevo win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.