Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Beatriz Haddad Maia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbc64684e664d6ee47ab6be497099639e48752ccf1349b1646e812f25d955fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mbokoof Mboko, Maia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Mboko | 72c | 3,100$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.04 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Mboko | 67c | 3,000$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.58 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Maia | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maia | 28c | 2,530$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.38 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Mboko | 71c | 1,579$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.91 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mboko | 77c | 1,540$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.94 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maia | 14c | 1,356$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mboko | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…7dcebacked Maia | 32c | 850$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.25per pick | 33cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maia | 24c | 809.37$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…a591backed Maia | 7c | 611$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Maia | 9c | 528.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Maia | 28c | 527.64$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maia | 32c | 502.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Maia | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Mboko | 71c | 392.79$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Maia | 18c | 371.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Maia | 29c | 366.86$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mboko | 75c | 326.56$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…0024backed Maia | 31c | 317.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Maia | 26c | 279.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6774…067dbacked Maia | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Maia | 27c | 196.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Mboko | 53c | 188.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maia | 8c | 180.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Maia | 63c | 158.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Maia | 33c | 152.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Mboko | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Mboko | 67c | 149.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Maia | 39c | 148.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maia | 26c | 139.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Mboko | 73c | 126.2$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Mboko | 72c | 114$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mboko | 66c | 107.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…c3e1backed Mboko | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Maia | 22c | 96.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e98fbacked Mboko | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Maia | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Maia | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…c974backed Mboko | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maia | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Maia | 26c | 51.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…18f4backed Mboko | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Maia | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Mboko | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Maia | 27c | 47.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Maia | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Maia | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Mboko | 56c | 39.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Mboko | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f8…8b5bbacked Mboko | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…b642backed Mboko | 77c | 28.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Mboko | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…dc5ebacked Mboko | 78c | 20.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Mboko | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Beatriz Haddad Maiathis page
- Mboko vs. Maia: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.