MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbc72fbacfed2ed03a047697a7ce922d2fa8c543223e82e934ba704a73c7c179
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Angels | 48c | 13,222$6,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,346.56 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Astros | 52c | 10,228$5,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,909.2 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Astros | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 14c | 3,387$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.86 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 40c | 3,247$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Angels | 48c | 2,615$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.17 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Astros | 54c | 2,001$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.46 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 66c | 1,982$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 52c | 1,699$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.53 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Angels | 4c | 1,475$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 52c | 1,365$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.07 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 47c | 1,169$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Astros | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Angels | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels | 46c | 931.06$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.29 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Astros | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Angels | 45c | 848.22$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.7 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…8115backed Astros | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 52c | 761.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.76 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Angels | 48c | 628.81$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Angels | 33c | 623.2$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Astros | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Angels | 49c | 444.9$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c4…631fbacked Astros | 71c | 420.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Astros | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Astros | 69c | 291.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Angels | 50c | 247.06$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels | 46c | 239.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Astros | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Angels | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Astros | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Angels | 30c | 186.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Astros | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Angels | 44c | 168.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Astros | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Astros | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astros | 74c | 149.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Astros | 57c | 139.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed Astros | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Angels | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels | 38c | 98.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Astros | 52c | 88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Astros | 52c | 82.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Angels | 26c | 71.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…10cabacked Astros | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Astros | 52c | 60.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…6720backed Astros | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Angels | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…3dbfbacked Astros | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Astros | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astros | 49c | 47.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…c27fbacked Astros | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799f…c6b6backed Astros | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Astros | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 79c | 12.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.7 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Angelsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.