Denver Pioneers vs. Northern Colorado Bears

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbc8029f3d8b9ef4848c545bbded7979d4131f9688f094508c962fbda52d40b5

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Denver Pioneersof Denver Pioneers, Northern Colorado Bears
Resolved: Dec 20, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,264 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdddc…ced2backed Denver Pioneers	37c	5,470$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,471.47	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Northern Colorado Bears	4c	2,700$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Northern Colorado Bears	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Colorado Bears	59c	1,917$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.23	1,540	41.3%636 W · 904 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Northern Colorado Bears	61c	1,544$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.13	1,910	49.6%947 W · 963 L	+30.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Denver Pioneers	32c	1,353$439 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.99	1,173	25.2%296 W · 877 L	-43.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Northern Colorado Bears	76c	1,188$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.24	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Denver Pioneers	44c	1,063$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.09	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Northern Colorado Bears	70c	1,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Northern Colorado Bears	2c	927.03$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Northern Colorado Bears	54c	900$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	159	39%62 W · 97 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Northern Colorado Bears	54c	562.54$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.79	1,531	50.1%767 W · 764 L	+34.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Denver Pioneers	22c	422.83$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.76	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Northern Colorado Bears	64c	411.5$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.36	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Northern Colorado Bears	54c	400.26$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.58	175	46.3%81 W · 94 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Denver Pioneers	24c	359.32$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.99	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northern Colorado Bears	60c	352$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.28	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Northern Colorado Bears	68c	334$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.03	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Northern Colorado Bears	60c	305.01$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.86	1,420	43.9%623 W · 797 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Denver Pioneers	33c	303.24$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.24	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	37cpaid	+154.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Northern Colorado Bears	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2862…b2ddbacked Denver Pioneers	25c	202.24$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.24	109	39.4%43 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Denver Pioneers	15c	166.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.67	1,667	36.4%607 W · 1,060 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Northern Colorado Bears	11c	150$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	95	4.2%4 W · 91 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-86%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Northern Colorado Bears	74c	135.65$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	484	62.8%304 W · 180 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1758…5d73backed Northern Colorado Bears	64c	125.94$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Denver Pioneers	22c	122.04$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.13	1,227	27.8%341 W · 886 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Northern Colorado Bears	77c	120$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.47	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Northern Colorado Bears	70c	115.95$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.46	735	49.1%361 W · 374 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Northern Colorado Bears	74c	100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…0837backed Northern Colorado Bears	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Denver Pioneers	26c	100$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Denver Pioneers	39c	80.41$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.35	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Denver Pioneers	27c	71.85$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.45	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed Denver Pioneers	23c	53.71$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.36	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Northern Colorado Bears	77c	53.71$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.36	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Northern Colorado Bears	64c	50$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	154	42.9%66 W · 88 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Northern Colorado Bears	78c	41$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.98	163	41.7%68 W · 95 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Denver Pioneers	26c	40$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.6	177	40.7%72 W · 105 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Northern Colorado Bears	74c	32.59$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Northern Colorado Bears	75c	24.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.53	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Northern Colorado Bears	75c	14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	658	25.7%169 W · 489 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Denver Pioneers vs. Northern Colorado Bearsthis page
Denver Pioneers vs. Northern Colorado Bears: O/U 160.5Over won
Denver Pioneers vs. Northern Colorado Bears: O/U 161.5Over won
Denver Pioneers vs. Northern Colorado Bears: O/U 162.5Over won
Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-7.5)Denver Pioneers won
Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-8.5)Denver Pioneers won
Spread: Northern Colorado Bears (-9.5)Denver Pioneers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Denver Pioneers vs. Northern Colorado Bears

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event