Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc19ad04dd628e5e0d116f7f09c18c8ef04004eacd54dd56bbf53a56cfc00d9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MODUSof Rune Eaters, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 271.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 58c | 262.64$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 243.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MODUS | 55c | 234.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MODUS | 51c | 205.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…706cbacked Rune Eaters | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked MODUS | 60c | 167.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 162.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 114.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed MODUS | 44c | 114$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed MODUS | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…0ae8backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…cbbbbacked MODUS | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 62.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…120abacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 60.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed MODUS | 46c | 28.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 20.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerMODUS won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerMODUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.