Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tulsa: Duncan Chan vs Braden Shick
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc3a3fcde72d0223a5ad196c119b1aa01a9315789d9b0141e90875dfb1757d9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Braden Shickof Duncan Chan, Braden Shick
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Braden Shick | 54c | 6,444$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.82 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Duncan Chan | 49c | 2,334$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.66 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Duncan Chan | 47c | 1,674$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.7 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Duncan Chan | 44c | 1,087$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Duncan Chan | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Duncan Chan | 10c | 921.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Duncan Chan | 56c | 609.1$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Braden Shick | 45c | 261.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Braden Shick | 46c | 241$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Duncan Chan | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Duncan Chan | 44c | 192.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Braden Shick | 44c | 154.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Braden Shick | 44c | 133.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Duncan Chan | 47c | 131.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Duncan Chan | 41c | 119.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Braden Shick | 46c | 117$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Duncan Chan | 49c | 116.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Duncan Chan | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Duncan Chan | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Duncan Chan | 43c | 111.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…444abacked Duncan Chan | 43c | 111.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Duncan Chan | 43c | 111.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 169 | 64.5%109 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Duncan Chan | 43c | 111.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Duncan Chan | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Braden Shick | 78c | 89.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Braden Shick | 44c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Duncan Chan | 43c | 64.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Duncan Chan | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Duncan Chan | 54c | 55.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Duncan Chan | 53c | 44.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Braden Shick | 48c | 43.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Braden Shick | 52c | 36.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Duncan Chan | 32c | 32.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Braden Shick | 44c | 27.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Duncan Chan | 43c | 27.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Braden Shick | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Duncan Chan | 43c | 25.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Braden Shick | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Braden Shick | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ec…2bf9backed Braden Shick | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Tulsa: Duncan Chan vs Braden Shickthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Chan vs ShickShick won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.