Tennis · resolved market
Sion: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Christopher Papa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc3f3ae555d78418cdd6302a2d98be05ad252eb2e033a84542f68237d8982062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nino Ehrenschneiderof Nino Ehrenschneider, Christopher Papa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Christopher Papa | 8c | 1,714$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Christopher Papa | 3c | 1,354$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Christopher Papa | 9c | 1,179$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Christopher Papa | 11c | 1,106$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 78c | 319.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Christopher Papa | 11c | 269.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Christopher Papa | 14c | 245.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Christopher Papa | 10c | 186.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Christopher Papa | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Christopher Papa | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…6735backed Christopher Papa | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Christopher Papa | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Christopher Papa | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Christopher Papa | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Christopher Papa | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Christopher Papa | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Christopher Papa | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1429…b6babacked Christopher Papa | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Christopher Papa | 11c | 170.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Christopher Papa | 11c | 158.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Christopher Papa | 13c | 143.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Christopher Papa | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Christopher Papa | 13c | 92.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 72c | 56.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.