Other European Leagues · resolved market
Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc524394bd102a79fdd4abecb5e6ba3e64b1e5e2ea648ea0dadcf76a52e7dc23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 59c | 2,049$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.98 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 1,771$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 43c | 1,110$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.94 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 57c | 877.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 70c | 677.89$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.86 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 56c | 359.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 316.59$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 28c | 296.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.22 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 74c | 287.04$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 44c | 278.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.71 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 28c | 275$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 44c | 219.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 207.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 156.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 151.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 38c | 131$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 54c | 110.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…5298backed Over | 47c | 107.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +212.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 55c | 101.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 30c | 101.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 29c | 96.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 28c | 91.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 33c | 82.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…7c3abacked Over | 45c | 75.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 56c | 74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 29c | 70.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 25c | 54.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 29c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 70c | 43.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 59c | 35.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 57c | 29.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 57c | 26.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5this page
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)FC Fredericia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.