Other European Leagues · resolved market
Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x018ba66137ddf27dcfe50ed5fba697dbea70d131ae43b0d4baef808e1f15d694
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 256$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 38c | 249.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 37c | 249.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 34c | 235.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5b…e06bbacked Under | 50c | 232.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…5cb2backed Under | 50c | 230.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…60dcbacked Under | 50c | 223.1$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c74…b314backed Under | 50c | 218.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…5cb5backed Under | 50c | 215.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…fcdcbacked Under | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0b…49f2backed Under | 50c | 214.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa908…d716backed Under | 50c | 212.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e6…8431backed Under | 50c | 209.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…c156backed Under | 50c | 209.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…8fc1backed Under | 50c | 207.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…31d8backed Under | 50c | 205.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…43b6backed Under | 50c | 205.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…1676backed Under | 50c | 204.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1494…0593backed Under | 50c | 196.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 14c | 195.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 67c | 133.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 64c | 101$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa06a…f2c7backed Over | 66c | 100.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 81.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…a6eabacked Under | 34c | 81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 80.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Under | 37c | 68.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 35c | 60.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under | 39c | 45.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 67c | 45.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…859fbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 66c | 37.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Under | 39c | 36.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Over | 63c | 35.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…cf21backed Over | 63c | 32.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 62c | 27.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 65c | 21.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 2.5this page
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Silkeborg IF vs. FC Fredericia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)FC Fredericia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.