Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal beat Brighton?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc7d466fc938614ac0e1909868ed1c7a32c4743618f22c17ae5356f243833f8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 26c | 7,194$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.76 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 27c | 5,019$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.76 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked No | 35c | 3,429$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 27c | 2,817$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.21 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 27c | 2,360$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.34 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 30c | 2,141$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.62 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 79c | 2,066$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.76 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Yes | 72c | 1,950$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 73c | 1,935$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.81 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…ba60backed Yes | 71c | 1,555$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 73c | 1,366$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,036$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.71 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 74c | 996.63$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.54 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 27c | 942.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 73c | 913.63$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.95 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 14c | 800$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.53 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9664…f451backed Yes | 73c | 598.63$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 71c | 524.98$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.74 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 25c | 513.67$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.25 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed Yes | 73c | 487.61$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.96 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 76c | 487.28$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 15c | 468.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.45 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 70c | 439.6$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…1206backed Yes | 72c | 424.21$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…c3f1backed Yes | 73c | 411.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…28a0backed No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 72c | 277.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 25c | 216$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…664dbacked Yes | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…0494backed No | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 22c | 198.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9164…12a6backed Yes | 79c | 176.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes | 73c | 175.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…102bbacked Yes | 73c | 146.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…4b9cbacked Yes | 72c | 136$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 37c | 122.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7092…b8e9backed Yes | 74c | 121.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…8cf9backed Yes | 43c | 119.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…0284backed No | 28c | 116.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…68c9backed Yes | 74c | 114.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…eee2backed Yes | 74c | 111.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…34a8backed Yes | 25c | 104.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +565.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…f913backed Yes | 73c | 98.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 73c | 89.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…1abebacked Yes | 74c | 89.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 71c | 87.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed No | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…264abacked No | 29c | 86.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…2043backed Yes | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…8ecbbacked Yes | 72c | 70.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…c1acbacked No | 29c | 70.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…aea8backed Yes | 74c | 70.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed No | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Yes | 74c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…0fa1backed Yes | 73c | 69.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…7ef2backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3d…ee56backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 20c | 66.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773f…267bbacked Yes | 73c | 60.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…946cbacked Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 77c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 72c | 56.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a7…6571backed No | 28c | 54.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed Yes | 74c | 51.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…4b49backed Yes | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 73c | 46.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda0…bd85backed No | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +322.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…9f7fbacked Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…d064backed Yes | 74c | 40.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Yes | 75c | 39.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc75…1077backed Yes | 36c | 36.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 74c | 33.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ff…ee0fbacked No | 49c | 32.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 63c | 31.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…f634backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7763…e19ebacked Yes | 73c | 29.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…4fdcbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4dbebacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…314ebacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…c6b4backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574a…ea66backed Yes | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…9505backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d7…9caabacked Yes | 72c | 20.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…7ec1backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal beat Brighton?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Brighton end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brighton beat Arsenal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.