Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tarvisio: Alina Granwehr vs Federica Trevisan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc866f1ab0272526f2743f1ad5dcdd99b2f1c363bef49b08c05740613b5c88d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federica Trevisanof Alina Granwehr, Federica Trevisan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alina Granwehr | 77c | 2,287$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.03 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Federica Trevisan | 55c | 585.54$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Federica Trevisan | 22c | 505.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.57 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alina Granwehr | 48c | 370.51$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.89 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Federica Trevisan | 14c | 314.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.41 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Federica Trevisan | 24c | 267.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.3 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Federica Trevisan | 23c | 247.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.75 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Alina Granwehr | 77c | 210.17$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Federica Trevisan | 22c | 184.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alina Granwehr | 76c | 173$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alina Granwehr | 78c | 155$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Federica Trevisan | 22c | 149$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alina Granwehr | 67c | 143.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Federica Trevisan | 22c | 140$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Federica Trevisan | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alina Granwehr | 74c | 123$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Federica Trevisan | 26c | 120.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federica Trevisan | 22c | 117.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Federica Trevisan | 36c | 113.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Federica Trevisan | 29c | 110.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Federica Trevisan | 17c | 104$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Federica Trevisan | 31c | 99.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Federica Trevisan | 32c | 99.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Alina Granwehr | 76c | 95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Federica Trevisan | 22c | 93.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Federica Trevisan | 32c | 92.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alina Granwehr | 60c | 64.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alina Granwehr | 79c | 49.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Federica Trevisan | 37c | 49.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alina Granwehr | 60c | 47.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Federica Trevisan | 35c | 40.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Alina Granwehr | 64c | 27.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed Alina Granwehr | 47c | 23.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Alina Granwehr | 72c | 22.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Federica Trevisan | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Alina Granwehr | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alina Granwehr | 53c | 18.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.