Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfceb809617a63a0a447a5c4e2802619a801581b7e891d9469b2f7fb9058d9f3c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,365 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	30c	1,304$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.11	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5174…4fa3backed Yes	70c	1,228$860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.4	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No	22c	320.96$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.34	268	39.9%107 W · 161 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba63…6271backed Yes	72c	250.14$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.74	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	64c	166.19$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.49	254	49.2%125 W · 129 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No	32c	115.54$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.27	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e35…fe8cbacked Yes	75c	65.52$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.38	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked No	29c	61$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.69	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes	73c	59.43$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6736…921abacked Yes	70c	35.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b66…3c12backed Yes	72c	34.21$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	42c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180b…3eabbacked Yes	72c	14.69$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.11	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event