Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd2042486db7dbbfd8c58d01a529976205e6beea2f2355559a5d074a2954d4b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 38c | 18,370$6,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,402.25 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 5,668$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,891.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 4,320$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.28 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 4,250$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.15 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 3,071$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 2,970$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.4 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 1,385$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.77 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 19c | 526.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 59c | 482$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 423$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.26 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed No | 37c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.77 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 62c | 397.47$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Yes | 41c | 319$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 32c | 312.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 288$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked Yes | 63c | 276.93$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 68c | 232$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 40c | 205$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 62c | 161.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked No | 32c | 156.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 69c | 129.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 61c | 124.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 105$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 62c | 95.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 60c | 87.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed Yes | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 41c | 41.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 67c | 37.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 40c | 31.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 30.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…42b5backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e7…1872backed No | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 53c | 22.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 60c | 20.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 65c | 19.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 60c | 18.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.