South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd323effaa279b5a510bcf34ccc5803df32a53389c81f75bef84cad9f9c287a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 38c | 6,520$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,065.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 6,001$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 526.26$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 68c | 401.8$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.67 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 35c | 306.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.05 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 37c | 290$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 42c | 205.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 25c | 186$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 161.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 109.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 101.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 48c | 85.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 81.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 61c | 67.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 45c | 53.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked Over | 56c | 45.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 34c | 36.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…7c99backed Under | 64c | 33.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 62c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…d0d2backed Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 61c | 25.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 61c | 25.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5this page
- CF América vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF América vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF América vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.