La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd7dc89891374f85eee9995cff6fb7fa9afe83ce8b6c69c9eb6b7878993edb88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 27c | 1,224$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.91 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked No | 52c | 894.97$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 841.18$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.21 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 439$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 356.15$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 48c | 301.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 249.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.88 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 241.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 47c | 155$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 23c | 147.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked Yes | 48c | 94.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 53c | 72.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 21c | 72.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 46.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 35c | 32.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.