Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Carolyn Ansari vs Nao Hibino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd7ed542cc2ef159863a2553df503c478c4404e6e2140a30ed1b31983dd3fd7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hibinoof Ansari, Hibino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Ansari | 14c | 2,096$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ansari | 21c | 1,468$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.47 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Ansari | 18c | 964.1$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.15 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ansari | 22c | 701.64$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ansari | 8c | 640.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Ansari | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ansari | 24c | 500$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.18 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ansari | 15c | 465.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.31 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Hibino | 73c | 329.73$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ansari | 15c | 315.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Ansari | 19c | 282.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…d6fabacked Ansari | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…223ebacked Ansari | 14c | 225.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ansari | 24c | 207.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Ansari | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Hibino | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hibino | 73c | 176.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Hibino | 71c | 145.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Ansari | 17c | 136.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ansari | 25c | 115.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ansari | 16c | 111.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Ansari | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ansari | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Ansari | 33c | 91.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Ansari | 28c | 84.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Hibino | 75c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Hibino | 69c | 39.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hibino | 80c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Hibino | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Hibino | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Hibino | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Hibino | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…f559backed Hibino | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Midland: Carolyn Ansari vs Nao Hibinothis page
- Ansari vs. Hibino: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.